| Rank | Team | Tot | FG% | FT% | 3PTM | PTS | OREB | REB | AST | ST | BLK | A/T |
| 1 | O.N. Thugs | 76 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | European Sellout | 74.5 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 3.5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Sparty Rules | 74 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | IamJabrone | 72 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 3 |
| 5 | Westy's FadinBallers | 70 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | chowtime | 65.5 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 3.5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Dribbling Balls | 64 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 8 | Floor burns | 57 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 9 | Eddy's Crusty Towels | 42 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Love Timberwolves | 42 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Phatsnapper | 23 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Somewhat incredibly, the O.N. Thugs have made it back to the top of the mountain, heading into the last 4 days of the season. And the UPL regulars know that if the O.N. Thugs manage to hold off the pack, the trash talk will be immense.
| Rank | Team | GP | FG% | FT% | 3PTM | PTS | OREB | REB | AST | ST | BLK | A/T |
| 1 | O.N. Thugs | 814 | 0.468 | 0.8 | 589 | 13659 | 1438 | 4924 | 2830 | 805 | 568 | 1.63 |
| 2 | European Sellout | 817 | 0.473 | 0.772 | 851 | 13434 | 1112 | 4672 | 2982 | 912 | 588 | 1.71 |
| 3 | Sparty Rules | 808 | 0.462 | 0.828 | 965 | 12212 | 1029 | 5225 | 3159 | 792 | 534 | 1.97 |
| 4 | IamJabrone | 807 | 0.474 | 0.76 | 541 | 13969 | 1381 | 5067 | 2546 | 925 | 565 | 1.47 |
| 5 | Westy's FadinBallers | 808 | 0.472 | 0.791 | 623 | 12932 | 1143 | 5034 | 2852 | 879 | 508 | 1.62 |
| 6 | chowtime | 803 | 0.471 | 0.818 | 794 | 13579 | 1112 | 4687 | 2679 | 741 | 521 | 1.78 |
| 7 | Dribbling Balls | 789 | 0.465 | 0.751 | 779 | 12309 | 1167 | 4846 | 2685 | 859 | 623 | 1.68 |
| 8 | Floor burns | 819 | 0.466 | 0.789 | 752 | 11788 | 1411 | 4927 | 2250 | 757 | 602 | 1.43 |
| 9 | Eddy's Crusty Towels | 798 | 0.463 | 0.756 | 924 | 11698 | 1131 | 4466 | 2400 | 804 | 463 | 1.61 |
| 9 | Love Timberwolves | 690 | 0.479 | 0.802 | 383 | 11533 | 1281 | 4699 | 2076 | 675 | 426 | 1.39 |
| 11 | Phatsnapper | 638 | 0.467 | 0.786 | 529 | 10065 | 933 | 3835 | 2126 | 616 | 409 | 1.54 |
So, what's the prognosis for the last few days? We'll assume that the rate stats hold firm, as the number of games available are quickly running out.
The O.N. Thugs will pick up 1 point in REB from Floor Burns, will likely lose 1 point in PTS to Chowtime, and have 2 more points that are up in the air (STL w/ Eddy's and BLK w/ Jabrones). So, the final scores for the Thugs will range from 74 to 76, with 75 being a pretty likely outcome.
The Euros will still lose another 0.5 point in OREB to chowtime, and look to be pretty stable at 74 points.
Sparty also appears to be locked in at 74 points.
The Jabrones may get the point in BLK from the Thugs, and have a chance to get one more point in OREB from Floor Burns. Which would put them at 74 points.
So what had appeared to be a 3 team race is now a 4-team race. And more interestingly, it's not out of the realm of possibility that the UPL will end up with a 4-way tie for first.
Of course, there's still a chance that the rate stats could move, with the most likely shift being Westy taking back 0.5 points in FG% from the Euros, though it looks pretty steady on that end. And once again, we're heading for a very dramatic finish. Anyone want to bet a dollar on the finish?
-Chairman (aka O.N. Thugs)
3 comments:
The only thing I'll note is that you're at your peak right now. There are a couple other categories where you could lose a point or half a point. I could see you ending at 73.
And I wish I'd had Al Jefferson and KG for 4 more games each. I think that would have done it.
Westy - 73 is unlikely for me. 74 is a very distinct possibility. I'm conceding the point in PTS. However, it's not a given that I lose the points in both BLK and STL. I'm guessing that one of the two will happen, hence my guess of 75 points.
I could be wrong about my estimates in how I'm tracking the rate stats (at least w/ my stats). I believe that I'm closer to moving up to .469 in FG% than Rupert is to moving up to .468 (he had the more recent bump up, so he's more likely to be something like at .4677, which they round up, and I've been scoring at).
With A/TO - I know that you've been running hot, but I've been getting good numbers (over the last 10 days or so, I'm guessing that I've been at about 1.9-2.0), but still haven't gotten the uptick, which suggests that I'm close. If I get the uptick, then you probably don't have enough time to catch me.
In fact, I think that I'm more likely to pick up the half point in FT% than I am to lose the half point in FG%, since I've been shooting well the last few days and have stayed at .800.
As for Big Al and KG? I don't think that those 8 games would have gotten you there. Now, if you had them for 10 more games each, that may be different... With only 4 games each, we'd credit you with an extra... what... being generous, 7.5 points, 5 boards per game? That totals out to something like 60 PTS, 40 REB, 20 OREB, 8 BLK Maybe .001 in FG%? That looks like it would only be a small shift (on the order of 1.5 points). Maybe you change your strategy a little, but I'm not seeing the 4-5 points you'd need...
Of course, all the speculation will be moot shortly :-)
Interestingly - could Sparty's best move be to just bench everyone the rest of the way? He managed to steal that half point in FG% last night. He could protect it and just walk away with 74.5, and bet that everyone else comes in at 74.
If he plays it out, he's as likely to lose the half point in FG% as he is to pick up points anywhere else.
And as usual, I'm sure that I'm overthinking what people may do...
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